Friday, March 16, 2012, By JOHN J. METZLER ...
UNITED, Nations — In a world beset by war, ethnic
conflict and humanitarian disasters, Burma (aka Myanmar) seems one of
those rare places where diplomats can say they are making a positive
difference.
Maybe that's precisely because this Southeast
Asian land was until recently a pariah state, suffering from the
self-inflicted wounds of a ruthless military regime, ethnic conflicts
and reconstruction from a humanitarian crisis.
Normally such positive press briefings must be
taken with a grain of salt, but it appears we may be on the cusp of
Burma's long-awaited move out of its self-imposed isolation and into the
light of prosperous Southeast Asia.
From 1962 until 2011, Burma was ruled by a
leftist military junta who combined socialism, hypernationalism and
secrecy to cut this country off from the world. Periodic regime
crackdowns on dissidents, the house arrest of leading human rights Nobel
laureate Aung San Suu Kyi and massive human rights abuses prompted
suffocating sanctions and isolation from the United States and European
Union. And rightly so.
Burma forms the geopolitical nexus of competing
regional power interests — bordering China to the north, India to the
west, Thailand to the east and the Bay of Bengal to the south.
Historically the country's fortunes and fate have seesawed between
former British India and China. During World War II, the Burma Road
proved a vital backdoor supply link to embattled Nationalist China. Now
there's a new Chinese connection.
Today the People's Republic of China remains
the key political, military and economic player in this resource-rich
land of 55 million people. Beijing has provided diplomatic cover for the
Rangoon rulers by blocking human rights resolutions before the U.N.
Security Council.
At the same time, China has been vacuuming up
resources, including hardwoods, gems, oil and gas, and has looked to
Burma's southern coast as a maritime outlet to the Indian Ocean.
But Chinese efforts to construct a $3.6
billion dam project on the Irrawaddy River went a step too far. Burma's
quasi-civilian government flexed its muscles and put the Myitsone
complex on hold. Observers cite Beijing's "big brother" attitude as much
as the new government's desire to cautiously reintegrate with the West.
Burma's new government, ruling from the glitzy
and gaudy inland capital of Naypyidaw, has been courting the West as
well as Japan. In December, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton made
a politically significant visit to meet opposition National League for
Democracy (NLD) leader Suu Kyi as well as to officially greet the new
civilian rulers. She was the highest-ranking U.S. official in Burma
since Secretary of State John Foster Dulles visited in 1955.
Japan is talking about resuming development
loans and aid; Tokyo was a major donor before 2003, when Suu Kyi was
detained. Naturally the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)
plays a powerful political/economic role, too. Yet, so much hinges on
the April elections for 48 parliamentary seats. The NLD is contesting
the vote and Suu Kyi is running for a parliamentary seat.
U.N. envoy Nambiar realistically stressed that
the upcoming elections will test the government's ability to enhance the
democratic process. Significantly he called for a lifting of sanctions.
He added that the chances for continued progress means that "the
international community must respond robustly to people's needs by
lifting current restrictions" on the country:
The people of Myanmar will expect the
international community to step up, but it's Myanmar's grim military
leaders who also must show their intentions and step out of the shadows.
If Burma's rulers really want to end their country's disastrous
isolation, they will have to begin by proving they can be trusted at
their word.
"This will mean going beyond the current charm
offensive and taking measures to rein in elements of the military that
still regard themselves as laws onto themselves," according to the
pro-democracy website Irrawaddy.org.
While Western countries such as Britain and
the U.S. offer strong symbolic support in bringing Burma back from the
edge, by easing or lifting economic sanctions, regional ASEAN states are
poised to play the most vital long-term role in easing Burma's
isolation.
John J. Metzler is a United Nations correspondent
covering diplomatic and defense issues. He is the author of
"Transatlantic Divide: USA/Euroland Gap?" (University Press, 2010).
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