By HIROKO NAKATA, Staff writer, Thursday, May 3, 2012 ... ...
Myanmar, the so-called last frontier for business opportunities in Asia,
will be establishing a stock market by 2015 with the help of Japan's
Daiwa Securities Group Inc. and Tokyo Stock Exchange Group Inc.
Many Japanese and foreign
investors believe that the envisaged stock market will open up numerous
business opportunities. At the same time, however, some experts have
pointed out that after five decades of the isolation from the global
community, Myanmar's transformation from a pariah state to a modern
economy will not be quick.
"We are very proud of joining the national
project," said Ryota Sugishita, an executive director in charge of
consulting for Asian capital market development for Daiwa Institute of
Research Ltd. "And we are eyeing joining in the country's securities
business in the future."
Daiwa, TSE and the Central Bank of Myanmar
reached an agreement April 11 to set up a stock exchange by 2015 and
help grow a capital market. They are likely to sign a contract as early
as this month, according to the two Japanese groups.
The move is in line with Myanmar's attempt to bring its economy on par with neighboring countries.
The plan to set up a stock market by 2015 comes
the same year as the Association of Southeast Asian Nations plans to
integrate their economies to create the ASEAN Economic Community. In the
planned integration, ASEAN countries would do away with trade barriers
and promote cross-border investment within the community.
Meanwhile, the Tokyo bourse is expecting future benefits by helping Myanmar to open its stock exchange.
"We hope our support will lead to more active
trade on our exchange," TSE spokesman Naoya Takahashi said. For example,
the TSE hopes to build a broader tieup with Myanmar's stock exchange by
listing financial products on each other's markets or exchanging stock
price information.
"For TSE, it is a long-term story, rather than a short-term business chance," Takahashi said.
Such support would be part of a number of steps
taken by the Tokyo bourse, which cooperates with more than 20 exchanges
around the world, including in New York, London and Shanghai, to survive
fierce global competition to lure more investors and corporate
listings.
Under the agreement, Daiwa will be in charge
of helping the country nurture a capital market through various
measures, including the training of the stock exchange's workforce and
giving advice to set up IT systems necessary in the securities business.
TSE will help establish rules and standards to operate a stock
exchange.
Daiwa said the company's approach to the country dates back to the early 1990s.
The firm's initial interest in Myanmar's
capital market was welcomed by the government in 1993, which led to
Daiwa's official contract with the country to help set up the Myanmar
Securities Exchange Center Co., an over-the-counter stock market, in
1996.
Daiwa plans to use its knowhow and personnel resources at the MSEC to create the new stock exchange.
Global interest in Myanmar stocks has grown
recently as the country opens up its economy and the U.S. and Europe
begin lifting their strict sanctions.
Renowned U.S. investor Jim Rogers said in an
April 2011 Forbes interview that if Myanmar opens a stock exchange, he
would buy shares there "in a minute."
But the fledgling democracy faces many challenges, because it needs drastic reforms to improve its overall financial system.
The first key task it faces is to create various
regulations. These include stock-trading rules for the exchange,
financial requirements for stock listing and financial disclosure
standards for shareholders.
What's more, the underdeveloped economy,
often suspected of being a hotbed for money-laundering, is sorely
lacking modern financial infrastructure — including crucial Internet
technology — for transactions, money transfers and settlements.
Currently, only cash and checks are available for
settlements at the MSEC, the tiny over-the-counter market. ATMs have
only just been introduced at the country's banks, and credit cards can
barely be used.
Finally, workers would need to be trained to operate the new technology.
Currently, only a handful of people are
working for the MSEC, where only shares of two companies — Forest
Products Joint Venture Co. and Myanmar Citizens Bank — are traded.
"We have to boost the number of staff (at the MSEC) to about 100 people," Daiwa's Sugishita said.
In total, there are about 50,000 firms in Myanmar, and nearly 80 percent of them are small businesses.
Despite such a huge number of companies, only
20 firms under the category of "public companies" are currently allowed
to sell their shares.
Sugishita said there are many other firms
called "private companies" in sectors such as construction, real estate,
infrastructure and agricultural and processed food, which may be
attractive to investors once listing rules are eased.
Local companies have long struggled with
raising funds to expand their businesses, with many either relying on
business owners' savings or unofficial borrowing from their friends and
relatives.
Official bank loans bear high interest rates
and require real estate, jewelry or beans as collateral. Interest on
bank lending now stands at 12 percent, after falling from 17 percent in
fall last year, Sugishita said.
Banks have been reluctant to extend loans
since panicky withdrawals triggered by groundless rumors of their
financial health in 2003 forced the government to tighten control of
banks, he said.
Besides these hurdles, other deeper-rooted
problems also remain. Despite pressure from the West, many firms are
reluctant to become more transparent and comply with corporate norms,
experts say.
"There are companies, including local
conglomerates, that are interested in stock listing," said Yoshihiro
Araki, director in charge of ASEAN industries integration at the Japan
External Trade Organization.
But listing their stocks is a different matter, according to Araki.
"As in many other emerging nations, companies
hesitate to disclose their financial results," he said, explaining that
the reluctance partly stems from overzealous local tax authorities.
"Also, many of them are family-owned
companies, and they don't want outsiders to poke their nose into the
business," said Araki, who visited Myanmar on an inspection tour of the
booming economy in February and March.
Despite all the challenges, building a stock market is a necessity for economic growth, experts believe.
As in Indonesia and many other emerging
markets, any growth in stock markets stimulates the economy, whets
consumer appetites and encourages more investment in a positive economic
cycle, said Takashi Takayama, an economist at NLI Research Institute in
charge of emerging Asian economies.
If companies started to raise funds by
floating their shares on the stock exchange, that would also help
Japanese companies to find good business partners, he said.
"What I'll focus on is how many companies
will go public and how the government and local banks support active
trade," Takayama said.
http://www.japantimes.co.jp/text/nb20120503a4.html
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